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Severe Tropical Storm "Kristine" Update


Ibinaba na ang Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal 1 ang Probinsya ng Bulacan

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 26

Severe Tropical Storm #KristinePH (TRAMI)

Issued at 11:00 AM, 25 October 2024

Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

“KRISTINE” IS ABOUT TO EXIT THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR).

Location of Center (10:00 AM):

The center of Severe Tropical Storm KRISTINE was estimated based on all available data at 255 km West Northwest of Bacnotan, La Union or 255 km West Southwest of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (17.4°N, 118.1°E)

Intensity:

Maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 115 km/h, and central pressure of 985 hPa

Present Movement:

West northwestward at 15 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:

Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 730 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT:

TCWS No.1

Wind threat: Strong winds

Warning lead time: 36 hours

Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)

Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

- BULACAN

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK:

• KRISTINE is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) region this afternoon or evening.

• In the extended outlook, there is a developing forecast situation wherein KRISTINE will continue moving westward over the West Philippine Sea until tomorrow, loop counterclockwise on Sunday and Monday, then move eastward for the remainder of the forecast period. However, this scenario heavily depends on the behavior of the tropical cyclone east of the PAR region and the behavior of other synoptic weather systems surrounding KRISTINE while over the West Philippine Sea.

• KRISTINE is forecast to gradually intensify over the West Philippine Sea. While it is likely that the tropical cyclone will remain a severe tropical storm in the next five days, the chance for it to be upgraded into a typhoon is not ruled out. However, a weakening trend is expected by early next week due to a possible surge of northeasterly wind flow over the West Philippine Sea.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.

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