Issued at 11:00 AM, 04 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
“MARCE” SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.
Location of Center (10:00 AM):
The center of Tropical Storm MARCE was estimated based on all available data at 775 km East of Borongan City, Eastern Samar (12.4°N, 132.5°E)
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 90 km/h, and central pressure of 998 hPa
Present Movement:
West northwestward at 35 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 580 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
No Wind Signal currently hoisted.
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
As MARCE moves northwestward within the PAR region, it may enhance the northeasterly wind flow which may occur within the week. This, and the trough of the tropical cyclone, will bring rains over Extreme Northern Luzon and the eastern section of Luzon beginning today or on Tuesday. A Weather Advisory may be issued over the next days as MARCE moves closer towards Northern Luzon.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• MARCE is forecast to move generally west northwestward today until tomorrow (5 November) before turning westward at a slow pace over the Philippine Sea east of Extreme Northern Luzon. On the track forecast, MARCE will make landfall in the vicinity of Babuyan Islands or mainland northern Cagayan on Thursday evening (7 November) or Friday (8 November) early morning. Due to uncertainty in the strength of the high pressure area north of MARCE, the forecast track may still change and bring the landfall point to mainland Cagayan-Isabela area.
• This tropical cyclone is expected to gradually intensify and may reach severe tropical storm category by tomorrow (5 November). Furthermore, it may also reach typhoon category by tomorrow evening or Wednesday early morning. Rapid intensification is likely.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
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