Issued at 5:00 PM, 07 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 PM today.
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LIFE-THREATENING CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER NORTHEASTERN CAGAYAN AS TYPHOON “MARCE” MAKES LANDFALL OVER SANTA ANA, CAGAYAN.
Location of Center (4:00 PM):
The center of the eye of Typhoon MARCE was estimated based on all available data in the vicinity of Santa Ana, Cagayan (18.5°N, 122.0°E)
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 240 km/h, and central pressure of 940 hPa
Present Movement:
Westward at 10 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 560 km from the center
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TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• Typhoon MARCE will move generally westward, emerge over Aparri Bay, and possibly make another landfall along the coast of northwestern mainland Cagayan tonight. MARCE will emerge over the West Philippines tomorrow (8 November) early morning.
• Regardless of the position of the center of the eye in the next several hours, it must be emphasized that potentially life threatening conditions due to typhoon-force winds, storm surge inundation, and torrential rainfall will be experienced in the Babuyan Islands and the northern portions of mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, and Apayao
• After crossing the northern portion of Northern Luzon, MARCE will continue moving generally westward and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) region tomorrow afternoon or evening. The surge of the northeasterly wind flow will result in a generally southwestward movement beginning on Sunday (10 November).
• The possibility of reaching Super Typhoon category after crossing northeastern Cagayan is still not ruled out. Nevertheless, weakening is expected within the day due to interaction with the terrain of mainland Luzon and the possible dry air intrusion from the prevailing northeasterly wind flow. Nevertheless, it will remain as a typhoon throughout its passage within the PAR region. The surge of the northeasterly wind flow will trigger a continuous period of weakening during the weekend.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 8:00 PM today.
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